Part 12 — source comparisons

1986 p.118 / revised p.117

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Note

Surprise and shock can also be represented as an overload beyond one’s immediate ability to respond or adapt. In this context, we may view the “essence of maneuver conflict” a bit differently—

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1986 p.119 / revised p.118

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Essence of maneuver conflict

Maneuver factors, payoff, and equivalent aimsFive factors in the left column and three payoffs in the right are connected by two facing braces with short central ticks. A lower brace joins both groups to two equivalent aims. There are no arrows.Create, Exploit, and Magnify• AmbiguityAlternative or competing impressions of eventsas they may or may not be.• DeceptionAn impression of events as they are not.• NoveltyImpressions associated with events/ideas thatare unfamiliar or have not been experiencedbefore.• Fast Transient ManeuversIrregular and rapid/abrupt shift from onemaneuver event/state to another.• Effort(Cheng/Ch’i or Nebenpunkte/Schwerpunkt)An expenditure of energy or an irruption ofviolence—focused into, or thru, features thatpermit an organic whole to exist.Payoff• DisorientationMismatch between events one observes orimagines and events (or efforts) he mustreact or adapt to.• DisruptionState of being split-apart, broken-up, ortorn asunder.• OverloadA welter of threatening events/effortsbeyond one’s mental or physical capacity toadapt or endure.Aim• Generate many non-cooperative centers of gravity, as well as disorient, disrupt, oroverload those that adversary depends upon, in order to magnify friction, shattercohesion, produce paralysis, and bring about his collapse;or equivalently,• Uncover, create, and exploit many vulnerabilities and weaknesses, hence manyopportunities, to pull adversary apart and isolate remnants for mop-up or absorption.
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1986 p.120 / revised p.119

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Observations related to moral conflict — Gen. Hermann Balck

Theme

• No fixed recipes for organization, communications, tactics, leadership, etc.

• Wide freedom for subordinates to exercise imagination and initiative—yet harmonize within intent of superior commanders.

• Heavy reliance upon moral (human values) instead of material superiority as basis for cohesion and ultimate success.

• Commanders must create a bond and breadth of experience based upon trust—not mistrust—for cohesion.

How is this atmosphere achieved?

• By example, leaders (at all levels) must demonstrate requisite physical energy, mental agility, and moral authority to inspire subordinates to enthusiastically cooperate and take initiative within superior’s intent.

What is the price?

• Courage to share danger and discomfort at the front;

• Willingness to support and promote (unconventional or difficult) subordinates who accept danger, demonstrate initiative, take risks, and come up with new ways toward mission accomplishment;

• Dedication and resolve to face up to and master uncomfortable circumstances that fly in the face of the traditional solution.

Benefit

• Internal simplicity that permits rapid adaptability.

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1986 p.121 / revised p.120

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Observations related to moral conflict — Cyril Falls

Cyril Falls, The Art of War from The Age of Napoleon to The Present Day (1961)

Page 124

In the First World War ‘cellar life’ had been a feature of the adversities of Paris, which actually came under the fire of specially built long-range guns in 1918, as well as aircraft bombing. In the East End of London air raids cause a tendency to panic in the latter part of 1917, and, whether there was a raid or not, some 300,000 people crowded each night into the underground railway stations and slept on the platforms … There was little organized civil defence beyond the reduction of lights.

Page 161

The Germans, who were far ahead of any rival in the science of lighter-than-air construction, refused to accept the general belief that the future lay entirely with the heavier-than-air. Their Zeppelins … were employed chiefly in night attacks on England. On one occasion a single airship did a million pounds worth of damage in a raid, but on the whole their success was mainly moral and measured in terms of absenteeism in factories and sensational drops in production of warlike material.

Page 165

Early in the war the German Armies owed much in their victories in Poland, Belgium, and France to their dive-bombers. These aircraft acted in close support to the armour and infantry … They often put hostile artillery out of action, but generally by driving the detachments from their guns. The successes were won for the most part by moral rather than material effect. To troops unused to them, especially the French division of low categories, they proved extremely unsettling.

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1986 p.122 / revised p.121

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Insights regarding Falls’ statements and Balck’s ideas

• From Falls’ comments we note (with slight alteration) the following words and phrases: “panic … moral … absenteeism … sensational drops in production … dive bombers’ success were for the most part moral ... to troops unused to them … they proved extremely unsettling.” A quick glance shows that all these words and phrases are directly related to one another.

• Going even further we can say: Falls’ comments on pages 124, 161, and 165 suggest that moral effects are related to the menace posed by the Zeppelins and dive bombers, and the uncertainty associated with not knowing what to expect or how to deal with this menace. Put simply: Moral effects are related to menace and uncertainty.

• For a first cut this suggests that moral strength represents mental capacity to overcome menace and uncertainty.

• On the other hand, this first cut seems to leave out something that humans either need or must overcome for collective moral strength. Fortunately we have some clues:

– First: Remember that guerrilla commanders (see Modern Guerrilla Campaign) stress use of propaganda, civil disorders, selected terrorism, etc., as basis to generate mistrust and discord.

– Second: Balck emphasizes the importance of trust—not mistrust—for cohesion.

• Now, recognizing that both Balck and guerrilla commanders work in a hostile environment (of menace and uncertainty) that naturally breeds mistrust, it is clear that moral effects must include this factor.

• This suggest moral strength represents mental capacity to overcome menace, uncertainty, and mistrust.

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1986 p.123 / revised p.122

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Observations related to moral conflict

• Now by using moral strength as a point of departure—and by feeding in those unsettling or threatening experiences (a la Clausewitz) that either bring out fear, anxiety, and alienation, or their more noble counterweights: courage, confidence, and esprit—we can evolve the following related notions:

– Moral strength: Mental capacity to overcome menace, uncertainty, and mistrust.

– Moral victory: Triumph of courage, confidence, and esprit (de corps) over fear, anxiety, and alienation when confronted by menace, uncertainty, and mistrust.

– Moral defeat: Triumph of fear, anxiety, and alienation over courage, confidence, and esprit when confronted by menace, uncertainty, and mistrust.

– Moral values: Human values that permit one to carry on in the face of menace, uncertainty, and mistrust.

– Moral authority: Person or body that can give one the courage, confidence, and esprit to overcome menace, uncertainty, and mistrust.

• Finally, by stripping away and recombining essentials—from these notions as well as from the ideas and experiences of Clausewitz, Balck, and Falls—we can evolve the essence of moral conflict.

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1986 p.124 / revised p.123

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Essence of moral conflict

Negative moral factors, idea, aimThree factors at left are grouped against the idea at right by facing braces. A lower brace gathers both toward the aim. No arrows.Create, Exploit, and Magnify• MenaceImpressions of danger to one’s well-beingand survival.• UncertaintyImpressions, or atmosphere, generated byevents that appear ambiguous, erratic,contradictory, unfamiliar, chaotic, etc.• MistrustAtmosphere of doubt and suspicion thatloosens human bonds among members of anorganic whole or between organic wholes.Idea• Surface fear, anxiety, and alienation inorder to generate many non-cooperativecenters of gravity, as well as subvertthose that adversary depends upon, therebymagnify internal friction.AimDestroy moral bonds that permit an organic whole to exist.
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1986 p.125 / revised p.124

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Suspicion

• The essence of moral conflict, as presented, seems to be one-sided and emphasizes the negative or dark side of one’s moral make-up.

? Raises question ?

• How do we bring out the positive side? In other words—if courage, confidence, and esprit represent the positive counterweights to fear, anxiety, and alienation—what are the positive counterweights to menace, uncertainty, and mistrust?

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1986 p.126 / revised p.125

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Insight

• In addressing this question we find that the counterweights to menace and uncertainty are not at all obvious unless we start with mistrust and work in reverse order. Proceeding in this way we note that:

– The presence of mistrust implies that there is a rupture or loosening of the human bonds or connections that permit individuals to work as an organic whole in harmony with one another. This suggests that harmony itself represents an appropriate counterweight to mistrust.

– In dealing with uncertainty, adaptability seems to be the right counterweight. Otherwise, how can one adjust to the unforeseen or unpredictable nature of uncertainty?

– Finally, with respect to menace one cannot be passive. Instead, initiative is needed. Otherwise, menace may obliterate the benefits associated with harmony and adaptability. Intuitively, this suggests that initiative is the right counterweight here.

• Using these ideas, together with the previous ideas already uncovered, we can modify and enrich the essence of moral conflict as follows:

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1986 p.127 / revised p.126

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Essence of moral conflict

Negative factors and counterweights linked to simultaneous aimsFacing braces join the three negative factors at left with three counterweights at right as groups, not one-to-one arrows. Bottom brace groups both toward the simultaneous negative and positive aims.Negative FactorsCounterweights• MenaceImpressions of danger to one’s well-being andsurvival.• UncertaintyImpressions, or atmosphere, generated by eventsthat appear ambiguous, erratic, contradictory,unfamiliar, chaotic, etc.• MistrustAtmosphere of doubt and suspicion that loosenshuman bonds among members of an organic whole orbetween organic wholes.• InitiativeInternal drive to think and takeaction without being urged.• AdaptabilityPower to adjust or change in orderto cope with new or unforeseencircumstances.• HarmonyInteraction of apparentlydisconnected events or entities ina connected way.Aim• Pump-up friction via negative factors to breed fear, anxiety, and alienation in order to generate manynon-cooperative centers of gravity, as well as subvert those that adversary depends upon, thereby severmoral bonds that permit adversary to exist as an organic whole.Simultaneously,• Build-up and play counterweights against negative factors to diminish internal friction, as well assurface courage, confidence, and esprit, thereby make possible the human interactions needed to createmoral bonds that permit us, as an organic whole, to shape and adapt to change.
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1986 p.128 / revised p.127

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Synthesis

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1986 p.129 / revised p.128

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Pattern for successful operations

• Goal

• Plan

• Action

• Support

• Command

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1986 p.130 / revised p.129

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1986 printed slide 128

Pattern for successful operations

Goal

• Diminish adversary’s freedom of action while improving our freedom of action, so that our adversary cannot cope—while we can cope—with events/ efforts as they unfold.

Plan

• Probe and test adversary to unmask strengths, weaknesses, maneuvers, and intentions.

• Employ a variety of measures that interweave menace-uncertainty-mistrust with tangles of ambiguity-deception-novelty as basis to sever adversary’s moral ties and disorient or twist his mental images, hence mask-distort-magnify our presence and activities.

• Select initiative (or response) that is least expected.

• Establish focus of main effort together with other (related) effort and pursue directions that permit many happenings, offer many branches, and threaten alternative objectives.

• Move along paths of least resistance (to reinforce and exploit success).

• Exploit, rather than disrupt or destroy, those differences, frictions, obsessions, etc., of adversary organism that interfere with his ability to cope with unfolding circumstances.

• Subvert, disorient, disrupt, overload, or seize adversary’s vulnerable, yet critical, connections, centers, and activities that provide cohesion and permit coherent observation-orientation-decision-action in order to dismember organism and isolate remnants for absorption or mop-up.

Action

• Observe-orient-decide-act more inconspicuously, more quickly, and with more irregularity as basis to keep or gain initiative as well as shape and shift main effort to repeatedly and unexpectedly penetrate vulnerabilities and weaknesses exposed by that effort or other effort(s) that tie up, divert, or drain away adversary attention (and strength) elsewhere.

Support

Support resources grouped toward their purposeTwo support provisions, superior mobile communications and only essential logistics, are joined by one right-facing brace to their shared purpose of cohesion and pace within resources.• Superior mobile communications• Only essential logisticsto maintain cohesion of overall effort andsustain appropriate pace of operationswithin available resources

Command

• Decentralize, in a tactical sense, to encourage lower-level commanders to shape, direct, and take the sudden/sharp actions necessary to quickly exploit opportunities as they present themselves.

• Centralize, in a strategic sense, to establish aims, match ambitions with means/talent, sketch flexible plans, allocate resources, and shape focus of overall effort.

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1986 p.131 / revised p.130

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Impressions

• Plan and action statements suggest that we are trying to:

– Penetrate adversary system and mask own system against his penetration;

– Create a variety of impressions of what is occurring and what is about to occur;

– Generate mismatches between what seems to be and what is;

– Push adversary beyond his ability to adapt.

• Intentions that make-up plan cannot happen without application of transients that make-up action.

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